제가 아직 다 못 읽어봐서 독후감을 올릴 순 없고 일단 소개글을 올립니다.

영국정부에서 경제학자인 Stern (세계은행 chief economist 출신)에게 위탁하여 발간한 보고서로, 작년 10월 30일 발표되고 금년 1월에 출판되었습니다. 아마존 가격으로도 한화 4만원선에 팔고 있지만, 정부 자료인지라 전체를 pdf 무료 다운로드 가능합니다. 아래에 링크를 올립니다.

http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/independent_reviews/stern_review_economics_climate_change/stern_review_report.cfm

그동안 기후변화를 경제적, 정책적 관점에서 다룬 보고서나 책자는 많았습니다만, 이 스턴 리뷰는 그 집대성판이자 가장 자세하고 방대하며, 사견을 첨언하자면 중립적이고 과학적입니다. 일부 언론에 보도된 바는 여러 시나리오들 중 선정적인 수치들 중심으로 보도되었습니다만 실제 보고서를 읽어볼 가치가 있습니다.

기후변화에 대해서는 이 책과 별개로 조만간 회게에 짧은 글을 쓸 계획입니다.
 
다음은 BBC news에서 요약 정리한 것입니다. 책에도 서머리가 있지만 이것이 더 일목요연하더군요. 시간 없으신 분들은 아래 내용만이라도 보시길..


TEMPERATURE
Carbon emissions have already pushed up global temperatures by half a degree Celsius
If no action is taken on emissions, there is more than a 75% chance of global temperatures rising between two
and three degrees Celsius over the next 50 years
There is a 50% chance that average global temperatures could rise by five degrees Celsius

ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT
Melting glaciers will increase flood risk
Crop yields will decline, particularly in Africa
Rising sea levels could leave 200 million people permanently displaced
Up to 40% of species could face extinction
There will be more examples of extreme weather patterns

ECONOMIC IMPACT
Extreme weather could reduce global gross domestic product (GDP) by up to 1%
A two to three degrees Celsius rise in temperatures could reduce global economic output by 3%
If temperatures rise by five degrees Celsius, up to 10% of global output could be lost. The poorest countries
would lose more than 10% of their output
In the worst case scenario global consumption per head would fall 20%
To stabilise at manageable levels, emissions would need to stabilise in the next 20 years and fall between 1% and
3% after that. This would cost 1% of GDP

OPTIONS FOR CHANGE
Reduce consumer demand for heavily polluting goods and services
Make global energy supply more efficient
Act on non-energy emissions - preventing further deforestation would go a long way towards alleviating this
source of carbon emissions
Promote cleaner energy and transport technology, with non-fossil fuels accounting for 60% of energy output by
2050

GOVERNMENT RESPONSE
Create a global market for carbon pricing
Extend the European Emissions Trading Scheme (EETS) globally, bringing in countries such as the US, India and
China
Set new target for EETS to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2020 and 60% by 2050
Pass a bill to enshrine carbon reduction targets and create a new independent body to monitor progress
Create a new commission to spearhead British company investment in green technology, with the aim of creating
100,000 new jobs
Former US vice-president Al Gore will advise the government on the issue
Work with the World Bank and other financial institutions to create a $20bn fund to help poor countries adjust to
climate change challenges
Work with Brazil, Papua New Guinea and Costa Rica to promote sustainable forestry and prevent deforestation

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